piątek, 20 czerwca 2008

Second day of trading

Cool. It seems the banking industry is weaker than I thought. That should be good for my short position in 513 Morgan Stanley stocks (at this stage I am losing -1,36% on this position, but that is basically the spread I had to pay).

Today, the breaking news was that China is going to increase the price of oil domestically. Unfortunately, this led only to a very minor fall in the global price of the oil. It seems that the demand pressure is so strong that that we are far away from the demand/supply equilibrium in the financial markets. I am not a specialist in the Oil industry, so I am far from placing bets on this, but number of entities predict the rise of the oil price to the level of 200 USD per barrel. That's a lot! However in real terms it would not be such an unimaginable level. The inflation, which is about to take off soon, will decrease the relative pain.

The only tradable information today, was about very poor performance of Chrystler and Auto industry in general. I think about this on the weekend. Maybe I short some auto companies on Monday.

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